The following table compares the implementation of Corona Reduit together with targeted isolation by individual risk in comparison to a universal lockdown:
Scope of countermeasures | universal lockdown | (voluntary) isolation by individual risk profile | ||
Epidemiological impact | uncertain | herd immunity among low risk majority | ||
effective reproduction number | generally somewhat lowered | selective by risk profile | ||
Spread impact | midly suppresive | selective herd immunity among low risk persons | ||
overall death toll (longterm) | higher (non selective infection) | lower (herd immunity eventually slows spread to high risk persons) | ||
health care system capacity usage | higher (non selective infection) | lower (selective spread to low risk persons) | ||
impact on next wave | next lockdown needed, no immunity | (degree of) herd immunity limits spread and severity | ||
Social impact | universal isolation | mostly intergenerational | ||
share of population affected | everyone | high risk persons (voluntary) | ||
children | stuck at home with parents | in regular education and caretaking environment | ||
working age | largely stuck at home (with children) | working | ||
seniors | stuck at home | voluntary isolation with specific services to take care of their needs | ||
Economic impact | devastating | limited (mostly retirees) | ||
GDP growth | > -25% | mildly negative (consumption by retirees subdued) | ||
labor market | collapses, needs life support | barely affected (mostly retirees at risk) | ||
global trade | collapses, supply chains disrupted | barely affected (mostly retirees at risk) | ||
government debt | explodes, deficits > 10% GDP | rises slightly (expenses for risk person protection) | ||
pension system | collapses (negative returns) | barely affected (mostly retirees at risk) | ||
Political impact | state of emergency | limited, no state of emergency | ||
division of powers | ceremonial | regular operations | ||
fundamental rights | massively restricted | minimal restrictions | ||
regulatory burden | micromanagement | standard framework | ||
organisational readiness | overwhelming complexity | achievable (pandemic plan) |